just one short

this was the only entry i did today, probably the last time with small position of two contracts only. 

from tomorrow i will start with 6 again because with 2 it is like a demo version

why i trade intraday

this is the reason why i trade within intraday timeframe and don´t invest long term

i can hardly remember when i saw something similar and i would NOT like be a long-term buy-and-hold investor these days. 

in the markets, there applies a simple formula: the longer the timeframe, the lower the probability of guessing the correct direction

no, i don´t believe in long-term investing. it is a fake idea. all these investing gurus, buffet, hedge funds managers etc.. no one knows what is going to happen on the markets within one hour, how can they say what will happen within a week, month or a year?

short-term investing makes sense to me much more.

i am able to say what is going to happen in my life within one minute from now. much less i can say what is going to happen within one day from now, even less within one week and i have an idea what is going to happen with a year or more..

in the same way it is in the markets. i can quite accurately say what is going to happen with the price within a couple of seconds or minutes. that is all i need to do day trading.

for example today, i took one trade that lasted a couple of minutes. and by the way, it was a long trade! hah.

this was quite an easily readable long entry, due to increase volatility i took only 2 contracts. +330 usd was the result within a couple of minutes. stress-free trading

big subject activity on daily low - scalping algo breakout

this is what i have noticed today on daily low at e-mini nasdaq 100 futures somewhere around 13:10 chicago time

the interpretation of this visualization is this: near daily low a big rough market and a big sell market order of the same quantity appeared. it was immediately identified by an algorithm which started selling using sell markets in a "clever" manner.

at the same time, sell markets were supported with huge sell limit (on the depth of market as the white line). when no one wanted to buy this big amount and fill the huge sell limit, the subject starts selling in a harsh manner - using big sell market orders. the price drops a little bit down and the subject closes the position in a "clever" way using smart activity. taking profit.

the price made a small pullback up and the algorithm started selling again, using a high amount of sell market orders in a matter of (mili)seconds. at the same time, big sell limit appeared at the depth of market, was filled this time with a big buy market order and the price slides lower. the selling subject closed the position in a smart way, taking profit again.

again, it started opening bigger sell markets now to break the daily low. its big sell limits were strong enough to eat all the offered liquidity in the dept of market. 

at the break of the daily low a 100-contracts big buy market order tried to protect the zone, but was neutralized with a 100-contracts sell limit. moreover, the 100 sell limit was supported with an even bigger sell limit (the size cca 230) accompanied with sell market in the size 120! it hit the daily low, closing the position in a clever way, taking its profit (yes again!) and reversing the position for long.

this is how a very powerful and very clever scalping algorithms operate..

this is where it happened in the chart (daily low - sensitive area)

this is how the footprint charts of the area looks like

depth of market - thin vs. thick offered liquidity

here is an interesting situation on depth of market (dom) in intermarket state. it is easily visible that the offered liquidity on the bid side is much thinner that on the ask side.

the presumption is that the price should move into the side of thinner liquidity - it is going to be easier, as there are no "walls" of waiting limit orders. 

it is just a presumption now - no data have been collected to prove this idea.

what we have to take into account in such a situation is the intermarket state and the predictability of retail market orders. here we have ym under the daily low, all other markets are above.

it gives the (stupid) retail traders feeling that ym is cheap and that they should buy it. they start buying.

limit side with quoting market maker´s orders builds thicker layers of sell limit order to retard the movement up and sell in a bigger quantity against the retail public. the movement down is much easier because the quoting buy limit side is weaker.

this is how the situatuion looks at market orders with depth of market. the offered liquidity on dom overtuns and the price sinks into it

what happened next was that the price dropped down against the buying public. in this particular case it would have hit o the first target only but it doesn´t matter - there was a strong buying sentiment on nyse tick at that time and even thought the price went down to hit the stops of public..

here is the footprint chart of this situation

more in depth study of this phenomena needs to be done before taking these situation as a tradable edge

eeeeh..

this was really fortune with the third target:-(

this was a nice entry on the exhaustion of sellers with a quick fill of the first part of the position

trying to trail the third one.. but the market is a bastard sometimes - it took my sell order and went up 

anyway. quite a good result 275 usd today

mid test

timing entry based on extinction of buyers in a nonvolaile sluggish market. after test of the thickened price and pull back - exit

second entry reversal scheme

not a very successful day today. i tried two trades but ended up with zero. 

the performance was poor as i more or less just tested if i am connected to the company ´s server or not :-)

anyway, i have noticed couple of nice situation that could serve as a second entry for a reversal

schematically, it looks like this



this is how it looks on real charts
example 1

example 1 closer look at market orders


example 2

example 2 closer look at market orders

market orders extinction

a nice example of timing entry with market orders study. with every new high, the market orders diminish

the first target is nicely placed in the thickened price action

orderflow mirroring

experimenting with a new sierra chart studie from www.intraday.cz aka www.order-flow.cz. here i took one trade based on the idea of mirorring orderflow. bigger buy limits are matched with bigger sell market. just one contract to test it..

here is how it went. similar situation appeared 20 minutes after

the orderflow situation 20 minutes after

video of this peculiar trade is here

nasdaq 100 futures pullback reverzal

an example of timing entry on orderflow liquidity vacuum in trend following scheme. selling lowest low

the daily context, the place of the short entry (arrow) and the subsequent fall of the price