ym should fall down

today the open was really weak with low volatiltiy and tedious price action. i had to wait 1/2 hour for the first trade that i took right here.

form the dislocation of the markets i can assume that ym should move down, the orderflow is not the best but is quite allright. opening 4 contracts.

it took a little drawdown but the price slided as expected..

here i have 3 contracts from 4 cloesd and the trade is risk free

.

the final contract is closed after the seller´s emotion

it was the one and only trade becaus the price action was really slow.

+300 usd. 

finito. no need to waste time with such markets

short nq, short ym.. and again..

two trades right after the open.

the first one was here as a speculation for a breakdown. the entry was quite aggressive and the risk of the trade was not properly calculated before triggering.

 i assumed the price would slide down really quickly, but it did not happen. it wen up so here i closed the trade in a loss of cca 250 usd

good point on this trade was that i jump out really quickly, without any hesitation. these are situations that need to reverse immediately and if they dont, i get out.

another trade was one or two minutes after the first one.

here i am short at dow jones - opening 4 contracts as well as in the previous one but the last on was not filled. i assumed the price should not go above high where i would close the whole position

 here is the exit. in fixed trade management. with only three contracts cca +250 so i zeroed out the previous loss.

 these are two examples of a very strict risk/trade management. i play any russian roulette here. i only execute, without any emotion

here i was ready to open aanother short at ym again, but i waited the price to tick little bit higher so that i could place my stoploss into the safe area above high easily..

yet, it did not go any higher, so the drop was without me...

come on man, this is going to rise!

well, these two trades are quite readable i would say, and the price went up really quickly after i clicked into them..

the timing entry at the first one is not really easy but .. what is easy in daytrading after all? we can see a sharp & emotional move downwards from the highest high.

the word "emotional" is really what makes it important because i trade against the emotional people so i really enjoy seeing something like this.

it was validated with the actual non-correlation of the markets. the entry was planed couple of minutes before it actually took place. here is the hit.

the other one was right here, after nq discovered new high and tempted high sellers to jump in. as always, i go against them, because they are too predictable. 

friday late afternoon short

speculation on the reverze into the value area of the last three days..

the chart above shows a tiny intermarket divergence - ym is lower, compared to other 3 markets that broke their highs, thus i am speculating that ym WILL NOT break.

and it didnt..

orderflow mirroring

experimenting with a new sierra chart studie from www.intraday.cz aka www.order-flow.cz. here i took one trade based on the idea of mirorring orderflow. bigger buy limits are matched with bigger sell market. just one contract to test it..

here is how it went. similar situation appeared 20 minutes after

the orderflow situation 20 minutes after

video of this peculiar trade is here